According to the Mail Online:
The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years …
Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997.
The climate models researchers have been using assume that temperatures will–indeed, must–rise with increased man-made CO2 output. However, these models have completely failed to predict actual temperature changes. A better model for understanding the Earth’s climate is based upon the amount of heat given off by the Sun. Thus far, the pattern in temperature changes on the Earth has been mirroring solar activity, which is why temperatures have been fairly stable since 1997.
Meanwhile, leading climate scientists yesterday told The Mail on Sunday that, after emitting unusually high levels of energy throughout the 20th Century, the sun is now heading towards a ‘grand minimum’ in its output, threatening cold summers, bitter winters and a shortening of the season available for growing food.
Solar output goes through 11-year cycles, with high numbers of sunspots seen at their peak.
We are now at what should be the peak of what scientists call ‘Cycle 24’ – which is why last week’s solar storm resulted in sightings of the aurora borealis further south than usual. But sunspot numbers are running at less than half those seen during cycle peaks in the 20th Century.
Analysis by experts at NASA and the University of Arizona – derived from magnetic-field measurements 120,000 miles beneath the sun’s surface – suggest that Cycle 25, whose peak is due in 2022, will be a great deal weaker still.According to a paper issued last week by the Met Office, there is a 92 per cent chance that both Cycle 25 and those taking place in the following decades will be as weak as, or weaker than, the ‘Dalton minimum’ of 1790 to 1830. In this period, named after the meteorologist John Dalton, average temperatures in parts of Europe fell by 2C.
However, it is also possible that the new solar energy slump could be as deep as the ‘Maunder minimum’ (after astronomer Edward Maunder), between 1645 and 1715 in the coldest part of the ‘Little Ice Age’ when, as well as the Thames frost fairs, the canals of Holland froze solid.
Global warming since the 1880s has led to the greatest era of prosperity and advance the Earth has ever seen, with nearly an end to past eras of hunger and disease. If the Earth is returning to an era of cold weather, as witnesses by the Little Ice Age, then we should expect a return to failed harvest and short (or nonexistent) growing seasons, leading to worldwide hunger.
Naturally, as the article goes on to report, many climate scientists are in denial about the failure of their models, and still believe that global warming is occurring despite all evidence to the contrary. This is just evidence that what was once a hypothesis has become a matter of faith to many scientists.
- From Climategate Central: The skeptics were right (blogs.dailymail.com)
- SCIENCE: Forget global warming – it’s Cycle 25 we need to worry about (and if NASA scientists are r… (pjmedia.com)
- Geologist: What should the world’s temperature be? (blogs.dailymail.com)
- The Coup de Grace for Global Warming Catastrophe? (powerlineblog.com)